Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14%
12.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
SCP
4 - 1
FCP
80%
11%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
FCP
3 - 0
EST
61%
18%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
LUS
3 - 1
FCP
16%
19%
65%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
76%
13%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
OEL
0 - 3
FCP
30%
21%
50%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
VST
1 - 2
OLH
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
VST
3 - 1
SCP
20%
19%
61%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
EST
2 - 5
VST
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
VST
4 - 2
LUS
75%
14%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
VIT
4 - 2
VST
62%
18%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |