Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.69
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.5%
6.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
77%
13%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
FCP
2 - 0
BEL
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
OLH
1 - 2
FCP
36%
21%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
FCP
0 - 1
SPB
85%
9%
6%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
BOA
1 - 5
FCP
34%
22%
44%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
VST
2 - 1
SPC
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
LUS
0 - 1
VST
45%
22%
32%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SLB
6 - 0
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
VST
1 - 2
BEL
23%
24%
53%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
OLH
1 - 0
VST
62%
18%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |