Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
4
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
4%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.8%
5-0
6%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.4%
4.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1939 |
SLB
6 - 0
FCP
62%
18%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1939 |
FCP
6 - 1
SLB
58%
19%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
CAR
4 - 4
FCP
27%
22%
51%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1939 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAR
85%
9%
6%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
FCP
11 - 1
VIT
76%
14%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1937 |
BEL
5 - 0
VST
68%
16%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
VST
1 - 1
ACA
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
SCP
5 - 1
VST
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
VST
4 - 0
LEX
69%
16%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 0
VST
39%
23%
39%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |