Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.7%
10.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
CAR
0 - 0
FCP
28%
21%
51%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
CAR
0 - 1
FCP
28%
21%
51%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
FCP
4 - 0
BOA
74%
14%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1936 |
BOA
0 - 3
FCP
39%
22%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
FCP
9 - 1
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
VST
1 - 2
SLB
40%
22%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
VST
3 - 2
SCP
42%
21%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
ACA
0 - 2
VST
37%
22%
40%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
VST
4 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
68%
16%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |