Porto vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
EST
1 - 2
FCP
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 3
SPB
71%
19%
11%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
UDL
0 - 1
FCP
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 0
FCP
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 1
RIO
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
VIT
1 - 0
SPB
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 2
VIT
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
VST
3 - 1
VIT
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 0
MOR
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
VIT
1 - 0
BMA
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |