Porto vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1991 |
GFC
0 - 2
FCP
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1991 |
FCP
2 - 0
FEI
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
FCP
2 - 1
BMA
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
FEI
1 - 1
FCP
5%
19%
75%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
MAR
1 - 2
FCP
20%
28%
52%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1991 |
VIT
1 - 0
TIR
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
CHA
1 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
VIT
0 - 0
SPB
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
FAM
2 - 1
VIT
43%
29%
29%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
VIT
4 - 2
VST
49%
28%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |