Porto vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCP
15%
30%
55%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
FCP
4 - 0
POR
87%
10%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
FCP
1 - 1
BOA
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
SCP
0 - 1
FCP
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
FCP
5 - 0
BEL
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
VIT
2 - 1
BOA
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
SCP
3 - 0
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
VIT
3 - 0
BEL
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
ACA
2 - 0
VIT
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
VIT
5 - 3
SPB
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |