Porto vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
FCP
3 - 0
BMA
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
CDM
1 - 2
FCP
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
FCP
1 - 1
FAB
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 2
FCP
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
FCP
1 - 0
ORI
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
VIT
1 - 0
CDM
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
FAB
1 - 1
VIT
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
VIT
1 - 1
FAR
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
ORI
1 - 0
VIT
29%
31%
40%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
VIT
1 - 1
BEL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |