Porto vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
FCP
0 - 1
VAR
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
FCP
5 - 1
LEX
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
NEW
1 - 0
FCP
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
FCB
1 - 1
FCP
17%
24%
59%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
VIT
3 - 0
FCB
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
UFT
1 - 2
VIT
36%
29%
36%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 1
VST
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
SPB
2 - 1
VIT
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
VIT
1 - 2
SCP
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |