Porto vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
61%
20%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
FCP
4 - 1
FCB
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCP
41%
24%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
FCP
4 - 0
SPC
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
ACA
2 - 1
FCP
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
VIT
4 - 1
SPB
70%
17%
13%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
SCP
4 - 1
VIT
78%
13%
9%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
VIT
0 - 3
FAB
64%
19%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
LGC
3 - 0
VIT
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
VIT
4 - 2
ATL
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |