Porto vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
FCP
3 - 1
SPC
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
EST
2 - 3
FCP
32%
25%
44%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
FCP
2 - 3
ATL
75%
14%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
LGC
3 - 0
FCP
26%
22%
52%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
FCP
4 - 0
FCB
76%
14%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
SPB
4 - 0
VIT
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
VIT
0 - 0
SLB
8%
17%
75%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
BEL
5 - 0
VIT
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
VIT
0 - 2
SCP
9%
17%
74%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
66%
19%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |