Porto vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.8
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.1%
6.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
FCP
5 - 2
VST
85%
9%
6%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
ACA
0 - 1
FCP
38%
21%
41%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
FCP
0 - 2
SLB
38%
20%
42%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
BEL
3 - 0
FCP
68%
16%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
FCP
2 - 1
SPB
84%
10%
7%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
VIT
2 - 1
BOA
67%
17%
16%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
VST
1 - 1
VIT
59%
21%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
VIT
7 - 1
OEL
54%
19%
27%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
ACA
2 - 2
VIT
59%
19%
22%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
VIT
2 - 1
EST
30%
20%
49%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |