Porto vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
4.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.5%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
1.5%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.8%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
2.8%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
8.3%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
4.5%
7-2
1.3%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
6.2%
6-2
2.1%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
5.9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
FCP
1 - 4
SCP
37%
20%
43%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
81%
11%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
76%
13%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
OLH
2 - 2
FCP
39%
19%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
ACA
1 - 3
FCP
39%
20%
42%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
VIT
2 - 7
VST
43%
21%
36%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
69%
16%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
SLB
5 - 0
VIT
95%
4%
2%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
VIT
1 - 2
VST
49%
21%
30%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
OLH
3 - 2
VIT
78%
12%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |