Porto vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.86
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3.2%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
14.6%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
9.2%
6.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
SCP
5 - 0
FCP
71%
15%
15%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1941 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
56%
19%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
FCP
4 - 3
SLB
69%
15%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
OLH
2 - 5
FCP
29%
21%
50%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
FCP
3 - 1
OLH
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
VIT
4 - 0
OLH
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1941 |
VIT
2 - 4
SCP
34%
21%
46%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
SCP
12 - 0
VIT
81%
11%
8%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 6
VIT
37%
23%
40%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
FCB
0 - 0
VIT
36%
23%
41%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |