Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 13-4
Porto vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.5%
10.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1939 |
VIT
3 - 2
FCP
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
FCP
3 - 3
SLB
61%
18%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
APO
1 - 12
FCP
17%
19%
64%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
CAS
1 - 2
FCP
9%
14%
77%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
FCB
0 - 0
FCP
16%
19%
65%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1939 |
VIT
3 - 2
FCP
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |