Europa League Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 7-4
Porto vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 3
FCP
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 2
SCP
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 5
FCP
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
FCP
5 - 1
SPA
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SEV
3 - 2
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
ZAR
68%
19%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
TWE
1 - 3
VIL
44%
26%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VCF
5 - 0
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
5 - 1
TWE
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |