Porto vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
MAR
0 - 0
FCP
16%
29%
56%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
FCP
3 - 1
VIT
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
FCP
3 - 2
AND
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
FCP
6 - 0
EST
84%
12%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
VAR
0 - 1
ESP
62%
24%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
MAR
0 - 1
VAR
47%
30%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPB
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
VIT
1 - 1
VAR
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
VAR
2 - 1
SCP
24%
28%
47%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | +1 |