Porto vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
22%
27%
52%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
MAR
0 - 1
FCP
12%
20%
69%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
BEL
0 - 0
FCP
24%
27%
49%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
FCP
3 - 2
SPB
81%
13%
7%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
VAR
2 - 0
FCB
61%
24%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
ACV
1 - 0
VAR
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
VAR
2 - 1
BMA
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
FAM
0 - 0
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
EST
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |