Porto vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
VST
2 - 0
FCP
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
FCP
4 - 1
LEX
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
SLB
2 - 2
FCP
82%
12%
6%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
FCP
2 - 2
FCB
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
TIR
1 - 2
FCP
27%
31%
43%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 2
VIT
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
BOA
1 - 1
VAR
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 1
SCP
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
FAB
2 - 0
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 1
ACA
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |