Champions League 1/16
Global 6-0
Porto vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.3%
Win probability
3.97
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.5%
6-0
6.3%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.2%
5-0
9.5%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
13%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
4.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.8%
1.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
VAR
0 - 2
FCP
19%
29%
52%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
FCP
2 - 0
BOA
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
VIT
0 - 0
FCP
34%
28%
38%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
FCP
7 - 1
BEL
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
FCP
6 - 0
OEL
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 1
DUN
26%
24%
51%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
DUN
2 - 0
VAR
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 0
DBU
43%
24%
34%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
DBU
2 - 1
VAR
79%
13%
9%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1961 |
VAR
2 - 0
DUN
44%
21%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |