Qualif. Champions Semi-finals
Global 9-1
Porto vs Union Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.6%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
6.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.1%
2.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
FAM
0 - 3
FCP
17%
28%
55%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
FCP
4 - 1
SAL
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1992 |
ULU
1 - 4
FCP
3%
20%
77%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
TIR
3 - 1
FCP
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1992 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Union Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1992 |
ULU
1 - 4
FCP
3%
20%
77%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
MAR
5 - 0
ULU
95%
4%
1%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
ULU
0 - 5
MAR
13%
23%
64%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1990 |
SGD
3 - 0
ULU
95%
4%
1%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1990 |
ULU
1 - 3
SGD
3%
13%
84%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | -1 |