Porto vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1975 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCP
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1975 |
VIT
2 - 3
FCP
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
FCP
3 - 3
VIT
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
FCP
4 - 0
ESP
84%
12%
5%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
BOA
1 - 2
FCP
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1975 |
SCP
5 - 0
UFT
88%
8%
4%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
UFT
0 - 0
SCP
14%
21%
65%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
UFT
5 - 3
OLI
91%
7%
2%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
SLB
3 - 1
UFT
86%
10%
4%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
UFT
5 - 2
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |