Porto vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
VST
5 - 0
FCP
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
FCP
2 - 0
SPB
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
51%
26%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
FCP
2 - 0
HVI
88%
8%
4%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
FCP
2 - 1
BOA
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
UFT
2 - 2
FCB
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
UFT
0 - 1
LEX
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
VST
2 - 0
UFT
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
SPB
1 - 1
UFT
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1969 |
SCP
5 - 0
UFT
76%
14%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |