Porto vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
BMA
0 - 1
FCP
19%
30%
51%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1991 |
FCP
0 - 0
TOT
62%
23%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
FCP
0 - 0
SLB
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
SPB
0 - 0
FCP
27%
28%
44%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1991 |
TOT
3 - 1
FCP
49%
27%
24%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
UNM
1 - 1
CHA
40%
30%
30%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
PAÇ
3 - 0
UNM
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
UNM
1 - 1
MAR
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
TOR
2 - 0
UNM
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
UNM
1 - 1
EST
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |