Porto vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GFC
3 - 1
FCP
16%
22%
61%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FCP
3 - 1
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
FCP
1 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
FCP
2 - 0
RIO
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
UDL
2 - 4
PAÇ
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 0
UDL
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
UDL
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 4
SLB
14%
21%
66%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
UDL
40%
29%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |