Porto vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.1%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.5%
2.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
VEJ
2 - 1
FCP
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
ACV
0 - 1
FCP
9%
21%
70%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
FCP
1 - 0
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
20%
30%
50%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
58%
23%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
POR
2 - 0
UDL
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
UDL
0 - 3
SLB
12%
20%
68%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
BOA
1 - 0
UDL
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
UDL
2 - 2
ESP
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
VST
1 - 0
UDL
64%
19%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |