Porto vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.4%
Win probability
4.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1.2%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.6%
8-0
2.4%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.3%
7-0
4.2%
8-1
1.6%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.1%
6-0
6.5%
7-1
2.9%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
4.5%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.9%
4.1%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
4.1%
1.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1946 |
BOA
3 - 2
FCP
18%
18%
64%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
FCP
0 - 1
BEL
52%
20%
28%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
SCP
1 - 0
FCP
76%
13%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
FCP
9 - 2
SLE
81%
11%
9%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
OLH
3 - 1
FCP
53%
19%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1946 |
OLI
2 - 6
SLB
6%
12%
83%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
ATL
1 - 1
OLI
82%
11%
7%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
OLI
2 - 0
VST
29%
23%
48%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
VIT
1 - 0
OLI
81%
11%
8%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
ACA
6 - 1
OLI
84%
9%
7%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |