Porto vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
FCP
0 - 1
LYO
48%
23%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PAÇ
2 - 4
FCP
11%
19%
70%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 2
FCP
43%
25%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 1
GFC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
LAZ
2 - 2
FCP
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
TON
1 - 1
BEL
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
TON
3 - 0
MAF
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FAM
2 - 1
TON
55%
24%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
TON
0 - 1
SPB
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
TON
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |