Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Porto vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
FCP
0 - 1
SLB
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
FCP
3 - 1
SPB
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1982 |
SDL
2 - 0
FCP
55%
26%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
UDL
1 - 3
FCP
12%
23%
66%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
FCP
5 - 1
ESP
83%
13%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
SDL
0 - 0
LIE
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
BRU
0 - 3
SDL
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1982 |
SDL
2 - 0
FCP
55%
26%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
SDL
3 - 1
BER
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1982 |
AND
1 - 1
SDL
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |