Porto vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
FCP
4 - 0
MUD
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
RIO
0 - 2
FCP
31%
23%
46%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
FCP
1 - 0
KOL
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
FCP
6 - 1
FEI
90%
8%
3%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
KOL
2 - 2
FCP
76%
15%
10%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
SCP
4 - 1
EST
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
SCP
1 - 2
BAS
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
VST
2 - 1
SCP
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
SCP
5 - 0
SPB
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
BAS
3 - 2
SCP
33%
26%
42%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |