Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Porto vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
SCP
1 - 0
FCP
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
FCP
1 - 0
COV
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
FCP
2 - 0
LGC
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCP
22%
22%
55%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1966 |
COV
1 - 2
FCP
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
SCP
1 - 0
FCP
64%
19%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
FAB
0 - 0
SCP
32%
25%
44%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
SCP
1 - 0
FAB
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
SCP
5 - 2
ACA
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |