Porto vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
39.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCP
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
FCP
3 - 2
FCB
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
SAL
1 - 4
FCP
21%
19%
59%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
FCP
6 - 1
SPB
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ORI
2 - 3
FCP
22%
21%
57%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
SCP
3 - 1
BOA
88%
7%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
VIT
1 - 2
SCP
21%
20%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
SCP
8 - 1
EST
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
SCP
4 - 0
ACA
85%
9%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
BEL
4 - 3
SCP
35%
22%
44%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |