Porto vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
15.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
46.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
5.6%
3-4
2.2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
ATL
3 - 5
FCP
33%
21%
46%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
FCP
3 - 0
LUS
93%
5%
2%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
VIT
0 - 3
FCP
31%
20%
48%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
VST
3 - 2
FCP
26%
21%
53%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
FCP
7 - 1
ACA
75%
13%
13%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
SCP
8 - 1
VST
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
ACA
3 - 6
SCP
15%
17%
69%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
SCP
1 - 3
SLB
57%
18%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
BEL
3 - 2
SCP
45%
20%
35%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
SCP
3 - 2
SPB
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |