Porto vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
42.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
7%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
FCP
3 - 1
OLH
80%
11%
9%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 3
FCP
75%
13%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
88%
7%
5%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
SAL
0 - 5
FCP
29%
20%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
FCP
7 - 3
VIT
87%
8%
5%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
ATL
2 - 2
SCP
18%
18%
64%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
SAL
1 - 5
SCP
8%
12%
80%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
SCP
3 - 1
OLH
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
VST
2 - 3
SCP
12%
16%
73%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SCP
2 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |