Porto vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
BEL
4 - 0
FCP
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
BEL
5 - 1
FCP
56%
18%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
BEL
7 - 3
FCP
52%
20%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
FCP
3 - 1
APO
94%
4%
2%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
FCP
9 - 1
OLH
93%
5%
2%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
VIT
2 - 4
SCP
22%
19%
60%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1942 |
VIT
2 - 1
SCP
27%
20%
54%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1942 |
SCP
4 - 0
SLB
74%
13%
13%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
LEC
2 - 6
SCP
19%
18%
63%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
SCP
4 - 1
OLH
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |