Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 9-1
Porto vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
SPC
0 - 4
FCP
31%
25%
45%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
FCP
3 - 0
SAN
86%
10%
5%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
FAB
2 - 1
FCP
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
FCP
9 - 0
TIR
86%
10%
5%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
SPC
0 - 4
FCP
31%
25%
45%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1962 |
SAL
1 - 1
SPC
59%
20%
21%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
SPC
2 - 1
LEX
47%
24%
30%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
SCP
3 - 0
SPC
88%
8%
4%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
SPC
3 - 4
BMA
50%
22%
27%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |