Porto vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
ACA
0 - 1
FCP
23%
23%
54%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
FCP
10 - 0
CAL
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
VIT
0 - 6
FCP
26%
23%
51%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
FCP
3 - 0
FAB
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
SCP
2 - 2
FCP
55%
21%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
SPC
0 - 3
SPB
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
FCB
6 - 1
SPC
54%
21%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
SPC
2 - 1
BEL
32%
24%
44%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPC
82%
12%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
SPC
3 - 0
TOR
67%
18%
15%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |