Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Porto vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
ARR
1 - 5
FCP
12%
16%
72%
|
86 | 8 | 78 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1957 |
FCP
5 - 0
ARR
88%
8%
5%
|
86 | 8 | 78 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
FCP
4 - 1
VST
80%
12%
9%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 3
FCP
20%
22%
58%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
FCP
0 - 0
ATL
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
SPC
7 - 2
LGC
51%
21%
28%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1957 |
LGC
4 - 0
SPC
67%
17%
16%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
SPC
3 - 0
FCB
63%
20%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
VST
2 - 1
SPC
62%
19%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
SPC
1 - 1
ORI
65%
18%
16%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |