Porto vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
39%
25%
37%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
FCP
5 - 3
SLB
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
FCB
2 - 0
FCP
35%
26%
40%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
FCP
10 - 0
VIT
77%
14%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
ORI
1 - 1
FCP
18%
22%
60%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
BOA
0 - 0
SPC
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
SPC
1 - 0
ACA
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
SPC
2 - 0
BEL
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
SLB
5 - 1
SPC
89%
8%
4%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
SPC
3 - 0
VST
49%
23%
29%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |