Porto vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
OLH
6 - 1
FCP
39%
22%
39%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
VST
3 - 0
FCP
29%
22%
49%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
FCP
2 - 1
SCP
34%
21%
46%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
EST
1 - 0
FCP
52%
20%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
FCP
8 - 2
LUS
90%
6%
4%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SPC
1 - 0
VST
56%
19%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SCP
8 - 1
SPC
91%
6%
3%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SPC
2 - 2
EST
25%
20%
55%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
LUS
3 - 1
SPC
39%
24%
37%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
SPC
5 - 2
VIT
58%
19%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |