Porto vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
4.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.9%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.1%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
4%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.1%
4.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
VST
3 - 1
FCP
23%
21%
56%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
FCP
4 - 3
SLB
36%
21%
43%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
BEL
3 - 1
FCP
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
FCP
2 - 0
OLH
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
SPB
2 - 0
FCP
25%
21%
54%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SPC
3 - 0
LUS
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
SPC
6 - 2
VST
55%
21%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
SLB
6 - 1
SPC
93%
5%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
SPC
1 - 2
BEL
10%
17%
74%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1949 |
SPC
2 - 0
SPB
46%
23%
32%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +2 |