Porto vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 0
FCP
14%
21%
65%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
37%
26%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 0
TON
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
FCP
15%
22%
62%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
FCP
4 - 2
VIT
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
SPB
2 - 0
AVE
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
SPB
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SPB
1 - 3
SLB
37%
25%
39%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
SPB
2 - 1
RIO
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2018 |
BOA
1 - 3
SPB
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |