Porto vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 4
FCP
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 3
FCP
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
68%
21%
11%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
FCP
17%
23%
59%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 3
SLB
27%
26%
48%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 5
SPB
35%
30%
36%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 0
SPB
28%
29%
43%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 0
TRO
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
SPB
43%
28%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |