Porto vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
54%
23%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
FCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
ACV
0 - 4
FCP
9%
19%
72%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 1
FCP
20%
25%
56%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
FCP
0 - 0
SPB
73%
17%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
UDL
3 - 1
SPB
48%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2002 |
ALV
0 - 3
SPB
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
SPB
4 - 2
PAÇ
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
SPB
2 - 3
BEL
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2001 |
SPB
2 - 1
VIT
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |