Porto vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
4.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
SLB
2 - 1
FCP
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
CHA
0 - 2
FCP
26%
27%
47%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
FCP
2 - 0
AVE
93%
6%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 2
FCP
13%
30%
57%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
FCP
2 - 0
SAL
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
SPB
2 - 1
BOA
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
SCP
4 - 0
SPB
80%
14%
7%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
SPB
0 - 0
BEL
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
ACA
1 - 0
SPB
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
SPB
1 - 0
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |