Porto vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
FCP
4 - 1
ACA
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
VIT
0 - 2
FCP
29%
29%
42%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1985 |
FCP
4 - 0
VST
87%
10%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
SLB
0 - 1
FCP
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
FCP
3 - 0
BOA
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
SPB
3 - 1
FAR
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
ACA
2 - 1
SPB
43%
29%
29%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1985 |
SPB
1 - 1
VIT
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
VST
0 - 2
SPB
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
SPB
2 - 2
SLB
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |