Porto vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 0
FCP
23%
26%
51%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
POR
0 - 0
FCP
11%
17%
72%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
FCP
4 - 0
ESP
94%
5%
2%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
BOA
0 - 2
FCP
30%
26%
43%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
SPB
1 - 2
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
VST
1 - 1
SPB
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 1
SPB
32%
29%
38%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
SLB
0 - 0
SPB
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |