Porto vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
77%
13%
9%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
FCP
1 - 0
LEX
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
FCB
2 - 0
FCP
17%
22%
61%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
BMA
1 - 3
FCP
21%
22%
57%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
FCP
1 - 1
SCP
48%
24%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
SPB
4 - 2
FAB
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
ACA
1 - 2
SPB
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
SPB
2 - 1
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
SPB
3 - 2
VST
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
VIT
6 - 2
SPB
77%
15%
9%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |