Porto vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
LGC
2 - 0
FCP
27%
23%
50%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
FCP
1 - 0
SCP
41%
22%
38%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
SPC
0 - 2
FCP
34%
25%
41%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1953 |
SLB
5 - 0
FCP
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1953 |
LGC
1 - 0
FCP
41%
23%
36%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPB
90%
7%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
SPB
2 - 0
FCB
40%
24%
36%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
LGC
4 - 1
SPB
61%
18%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
SPB
0 - 4
LGC
43%
22%
36%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |