Porto vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
SLB
2 - 1
FCP
78%
13%
10%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
FCP
1 - 1
BEL
66%
18%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
SCP
5 - 1
FCP
80%
11%
8%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
78%
13%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
BOA
1 - 3
FCP
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
SPB
2 - 2
SLB
16%
19%
65%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPB
75%
15%
10%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
SPB
3 - 5
SCP
15%
19%
67%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
VST
2 - 1
SPB
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
SPB
2 - 1
BOA
52%
22%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |